This game · 147 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Chicago Sky won — the process matched the result.
scored with 15 points on 5-for-11 (46%), including 2-for-3 from three — 1.2 more than expected.
- Chicago Sky created 1.8 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Seattle Storm held up better (10.0 pts below expected).
- Q3 swung the look battle — Chicago Sky built a +11.5 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Seattle Storm (40% good looks) and Chicago Sky (40% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/5 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 33% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 31% of Seattle's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (33% vs 31%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 33% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 31% of Seattle's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (33% vs 31%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Chicago Sky won by 17.3 pts
Chicago Sky won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightMalonga's strongest zone was S.Mid — 67% from S.Mid (2/3) vs. a 40% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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